Product No.: ADR023
Date Published: 10/2016
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This report presents the Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission's (DVRPC's) adopted 2045 county- and municipal-level employment forecasts and describes the method used to develop them. Population and employment forecasts are a critical component of long-range land use and transportation planning. As a part of DVRPC's long-range planning activities, the Commission is required to maintain forecasts with at least a 20-year horizon, or to the horizon year of the long-range plan. DVRPC last adopted employment forecasts through the year 2040 in September 2012. In March 2016, DVRPC acquired a National Establishments Time Series (NETS) database that included 2013 employment data and revised 2010 data. The 2010 and 2013 employment data was reviewed and revised by DVRPC staff, utilizing resources that included CoStar, online business directories, company websites, and, when appropriate, direct telephone calls. The revised data was then sent to the county planning staffs for additional revision. Additionally, during the summer of 2016, DVRPC acquired improved geocoding resources that allowed staff to further correct the spatial locations of employers. Based on changes in the NETS employment between 2010 and 2013, and changes in employment in each county between 2010 and 2015, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2015 employment was estimated by county and municipality. Studies have shown that there is a direct relationship between the number of workers living in an area and the number of jobs. County-level employment was forecasted in five-year increments through 2045, by estimating a future ratio of population to employment in each county and applying it to DVRPC’s adopted population forecasts. Together with the 2045 population forecasts adopted by the DVRPC Board in July 2016, these employment forecasts, adopted by the DVRPC Board in October 2016, will serve as the basis for DVRPC’s planning and modeling activities, and support the region's 2045 long-range plan, scheduled for adoption in July 2017.Geographic Area Covered: DVRPC’s nine-county region, including Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, and Mercer counties in New Jersey, and Bucks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, and Philadelphia counties in Pennsylvania.
Key Words: employment, employment forecasts, National Establishments Time Series database, NETS, Connections 2045, long-range plan
Staff Contact(s)
- Brett Fusco (bfusco@dvrpc.org)
Translation Request
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Title VI Statement
The Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission (DVRPC) fully complies with Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, the Civil Rights Restoration Act of 1987, Executive Order 12898 on Environmental Justice, and related nondiscrimination mandates in all programs and activities. DVRPC's website, www.dvrpc.org, may be translated into multiple languages. Publications and other public documents can usually be made available in alternative languages and formats, if requested. DVRPC’s public meetings are always held in ADA-accessible facilities, and held in transit-accessible locations whenever possible. Translation, interpretation, or other auxiliary services can be provided to individuals who submit a request at least seven days prior to a public meeting. Translation and interpretation services for DVRPC’s projects, products, and planning processes are available, generally free of charge, by calling (215) 592-1800. All requests will be accommodated to the greatest extent possible.
Any person who believes they have been aggrieved by an unlawful discriminatory practice by DVRPC under Title VI and/or ADA has a right to file a formal complaint. Any such complaint must be in writing and filed with DVRPC's Title VI Compliance Manager, Alison Hastings, and/or the appropriate state or federal agency within 180 days of the alleged discriminatory occurrence. For more information on DVRPC's Title VI program or to obtain a Title VI Complaint Form, please visit: www.dvrpc.org/GetInvolved/TitleVI, call (215) 592-1800, or email public_affairs@dvrpc.org.