Wawa to West Chester Regional Rail Extension
Ridership Forecast

Wawa to West Chester Regional Rail Extension

Product No.: 10036
Date Published: 11/2011

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This report documents forecasts of the number of trips that would result from an extension of SEPTA's Elwyn line from the planned Wawa station to West Chester. It compares year 2035 forecasts under a No-build scenario, an electrified extension alternative (one-seat ride), and a diesel extension alternative (requiring a transfer at Wawa). The line between West Chester, Elwyn, and Philadelphia is forecast to attract 1,910 and 1,350 additional daily rides due to the extension of service for the electric and diesel alternatives, respectively. A portion of trips on the extension is due to diversion from other SEPTA services. Total SEPTA system-wide net ridership gains are forecast to be about 1,410 and 990 trips in the electric and diesel alternatives, respectively. Area bus service is not significantly impacted by the extension; the location of the West Chester terminus location, either traditional location or a location at the West Chester Transportation Center, does not meaningfully affect the forecast. The report contains details on study area trends, the alternatives analyzed, and the forecasting methodology.

Geographic Area Covered: The municipalities of Chadds Ford Township, Concord Township, Aston Township, Thornbury Township, Middletown Township, Upper Providence Township, Edgmont Township, Rose Valley Borough, and Media Borough in Delaware County, and Westtown Township, Thornbury Township, East Goshen Township, West Goshen Township, Birmingham Township, West Whiteland Township, East Bradford Township, and West Chester Borough in Chester County, Pennsylvania

Key Words: Transit Ridership Forecast, West Chester, Elwyn, Wawa, SEPTA, Travel Demand Modeling, Travel Improvement Model, TIM 1.0, VISUM

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